Introduction

In a surprising turn of events, support for former U.S. President Donald Trump among Canadians has risen significantly compared to the last presidential election. A recent survey conducted by Environics Institute in Toronto reveals that while many Canadians still hope for a Democratic victory, Trump's backing has climbed from 15% in 2020 to 21% this year.

Preference for Kamala Harris

The survey indicates a strong preference for U.S. Vice-President Kamala Harris among Canadians, with a remarkable 60% expressing support for her. This overwhelming majority suggests that despite Trump's increase in popularity, he remains less favored overall.

Demographic Shifts

Delving deeper into the demographics, it appears that Trump's resurgence is particularly notable among Canadians under the age of 55 and residents of Ontario and Western Canada. Interestingly, the survey highlights a shift among young men aged 18 to 34, who are now more divided in their preferences, reflecting a stark contrast to 2020 when they favored Biden two-to-one.

Indifference and Uncertainty

The survey also uncovered that 18% of Canadians were indifferent to the election results or uncertain about their preferred candidate. This suggests a significant number of Canadians may not feel strongly aligned with either of the major parties.

Survey Methodology

The methodology of this insightful survey involved interviews with 2,016 Canadians over the phone between September 9 and September 23, 2024, providing a robust sample size with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.

Conclusion

As the countdown to the U.S. presidential election continues, the evolving sentiments among Canadians present a fascinating glimpse into their opinions on American politics. Can Trump maintain or grow this newfound support, or will Harris regain the trust of Canadians as the election approaches? This dynamic is set to unfold in the coming months, making it a pivotal moment for cross-border relations. Stay tuned for updates on this intriguing development!