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2024 MLB Playoffs: Unpacking the NLDS and ALDS Strengths and Weaknesses

2024-10-05

With the wild-card round behind us, the tension ramps up as the eight remaining teams battle for glory in the 2024 MLB Division Series. As the playoffs progress, the intricacies of each team's strengths and flaws become critical in determining who advances towards the coveted World Series title. Let's delve into eight essential elements of October baseball that could make or break these teams' postseason aspirations.

Power

How vital is power hitting in October? Quite a bit! Historically, teams that outhomer their opponents boast a staggering 156-30 playoff record since 2018.

Standouts:

The Yankees lead the league with a remarkable home run total of 237, buoyed by power hitters Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, who alone contributed 99 homers. The Dodgers also displayed power, riding on the efforts of Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez, who paired up for 87 homers. However, the Mets shouldn't be underestimated; key homers from Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have ignited their playoff journey.

Trouble Ahead:

Despite some success, the Royals struggle with power, hitting a mere .204 in September. For the Tigers, power eludes them as they prefer triples over homers, making them a team to watch. The biggest question mark around power: Who will step up as the cleanup hitter for the Yankees? As they grapple with lineup changes, determining the clean-up spot becomes a pivotal game day decision.

Contact Ability

While hitting home runs is thrilling, consistent contact can be a game-changer. The ability to put the ball in play can minimize slumps and capitalize on defensive errors.

Standouts:

The San Diego Padres shine here, spotlighting Luis Arraez as a master contact hitter. Their combination of talent ensures pressure remains on opposing defenses, crafting numerous scoring opportunities.

In Trouble:

Tigers find themselves struggling with contact, showcasing the highest strikeout rate remaining in the postseason. If aided by their excellent base-running instincts, they might surprise critics.

Top-of-the-Order Stars

Deep playoff runs often rely on the top players stepping up.

Standouts:

Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper have consistently shown postseason prowess, driving significant stats that could guide their teams. The Dodgers also boast standout talent with Ohtani, Betts, and Freeman rounding out a formidable batting trio.

In Trouble:

The Tigers struggle with recognizable talent, relying heavily on emerging players rather than established stars. The quality of Cleveland’s lineup also raises questions as they grapple with consistency from their top three hitters.

Baserunning

Exceptional baserunning is more than swiping bases; it's about making smart decisions.

Standouts:

Kansas City's aggressive base-running can turn games with timely decisions. The Dodgers excel in this domain thanks to their strategy and speed.

In Trouble:

The Yankees falter on the basepaths, displaying poor execution in base-running metrics. The overall inefficiency can prove costly in tight playoff matchups.

Defense

In the postseason, defense remains paramount despite the rise of strikeouts.

Standouts:

The Guardians’ double-play combination is noteworthy, boasting top defensive metrics combined with a powerful outfield led by Steven Kwan. Meanwhile, the Royals’ defensive talents, notably Bobby Witt Jr., strength their season's prospects.

In Trouble:

The Yankees exhibit mixed performances defensively, with certain key players showing vulnerability. On the flip side, the Mets’ catching throws and defensive errors raise eyebrows and could hinder their playoff ambitions.

Top of the Rotation

Starters remain crucial, even if they don’t pitch as long as before.

Standouts:

The Phillies’ rotation is arguably the best in the postseason, giving them a distinct edge. Kansas City also shows promise with starters lined up on full rest.

In Trouble:

The Dodgers’ rotation is plagued by injuries, raising concerns about depth. Similarly, the Guardians need a second starter to step up behind Tanner Bibee, otherwise their series could experience early exits.

Bullpen

Bullpen usage peaks in the postseason, with each inning becoming critical for success.

Standouts:

The Padres excel with their impactful bullpen, capable of shutting down rival offenses at crucial moments. The Guardians have established the best overall ERA, making them formidable late in games.

In Trouble:

The Mets' bullpen experienced fatigue from overuse, raising alarms about availability and effectiveness in crucial games. The Yankees also face uncertainty, relying on less established players to deliver in high-stakes situations.

Intangibles

Sometimes, the team's vibe and momentum can dictate the postseason narrative.

Standouts:

The Mets carry a momentum fueled by clutch performances and a dynamic atmosphere. The Royals also echo sentiments of determination, hoping to ride their wave to success.

In Trouble:

The inconsistent pitching situation for the Dodgers shadows them with lingering doubts, reminiscent of previous playoff disappointments.

With these advantages and challenges laid bare, the 2024 MLB playoffs promise thrilling matchups and an unpredictable road to the World Series!