Finance

Analyst Warns Tesla’s Robotaxi Reveal May Fall Short of Commercialization Hopes

2024-10-07

Author: Jia

Industry Outlook on Tesla's Robotaxi Event

In a recent statement, Ronald Jewsikow, Director of Automotive Equity Research at Guggenheim Securities, declared that Tesla is 'extremely unlikely' to present a viable roadmap for Robotaxi commercialization at its highly anticipated unveiling event scheduled for this Thursday.

Event Details and Expectations

The event will take place at Warner Bros. Studios in Los Angeles, where Tesla plans to showcase its new Robotaxi, a vehicle designed to serve as a self-driving ride-hailing platform. However, alongside the Robotaxi, there is speculation surrounding the possible unveiling of a $25,000 electric vehicle (EV), advancements in wireless charging, and even a new Robovan. Some industry analysts have set high expectations, thus creating an air of eager anticipation.

Analysts' Concerns

Jewsikow shared his cautious outlook, stating that he does not foresee a credible plan for commercial deployment of the Robotaxi fleet emerging within the next 12 to 24 months. He elaborated, 'There are a lot of boxes that have to be checked. I think there’s been a lot of hype about this event, and some of those expectations might be unrealistic.'

Market Reactions

Interestingly, while optimism abounds among some investors, even prominent bull Adam Jonas from Morgan Stanley cautioned that a full-scale introduction of the Robotaxi may not occur until late 2025 or 2026. Jonas envisions a dual approach for Tesla's autonomous ridesharing venture, consisting of a fully autonomous app-based taxi service and a supervised autonomous/FSD rideshare option.

Conclusion and Future Outlook

As anticipation builds, it’s clear that investors are counting on significant announcements from Tesla. The company has a track record of spectacular unveilings that generate considerable media buzz and often bolster stock performance. However, the question remains: Will this event live up to the lofty expectations?

With Full Self-Driving technology continuously evolving, many industry observers are keen to see how Tesla intends to navigate the complex journey toward launching its Robotaxi service. As the event approaches, all eyes will be on Tesla to determine the trajectory of its ambitious plans in the autonomous vehicle sector.

Stay tuned for updates on this story as it unfolds!