
Delta Air Lines Sounds Alarm: Trump’s Trade War Could Trigger Economic Downturn
2025-04-09
Author: Ming
In a striking warning from one of America's major carriers, Delta Air Lines has highlighted the potentially dire impacts of President Trump's escalating trade war. On Wednesday, CEO Ed Bastian expressed concerns that the repercussions of this conflict could significantly hamper both Delta's operations and the broader economy.
Recently speaking to CNBC, Bastian noted that uncertainty in the business landscape is driving companies to reconsider their spending strategies. He stated, Everyone’s being prepared for uncertainty. If that continues, and we don’t get resolution soon, we will probably end up in a recession. His comments came just before Trump announced a temporary pause on recent tariffs, which bolstered Delta's stock by over 20 percent that same day.
While the President's tariff relief provided a temporary boost to the stock market, analysts caution that the resolution may be short-lived. Trump's administration also revealed plans to significantly increase tariffs on China, creating further trading headaches and prolonging industry uncertainty.
The airline sector is particularly vulnerable to shifts in consumer and corporate spending—air travel often becomes a luxury that can be cut during economic downturns. Bastian noted with concern how rapidly the trade tensions have begun to sap confidence from the economy, calling the current climate uncharted, unprecedented uncertainty.
Contrasting Bastian's grim outlook, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent remarked in a separate meeting that many CEOs still believe the economy remains solid. However, Delta's recent earnings call revealed a noticeable decline in demand for main cabin tickets on domestic flights, even as premium and international travel segments continue to show resilience.
Echoing worries about tourism, new customs data shows a disturbing trend: the number of foreign nationals entering the U.S. dropped by nearly 11 percent at 42 major airports this March compared to a year prior. Meanwhile, American travelers saw a 5 percent increase in airport entries.
Interestingly, Bastian pointed out that about 80 percent of Delta's international bookings originate from the U.S., highlighting that American consumers are eager to escape the uncertainties brewing at home.
In light of the uncertain economic landscape, Delta has announced a halt on plans to increase its flight capacity for the latter half of the year. Analysts on Wall Street viewed these strategic cuts as a positive move that contributed to the surge in Delta's shares, which had previously dropped over 25 percent in value this year.