Finance

Is Solana Poised for Price Recovery Amidst Surging User Adoption?

2025-03-23

Author: Jessica Wong

The Solana [SOL] network is witnessing an explosive rise in user engagement as the number of addresses holding at least 0.1 SOL has climbed to an impressive 11.1 million—its highest level in months. This significant uptick in network activity suggests a growing adoption of the Solana ecosystem despite a notable decline in its Total Value Locked (TVL), which has plummeted from $11.7 billion in January to just $6.2 billion recently.

Network Growth vs. Price Action: A Concerning Discrepancy

While Solana's network activity soars, its asset price has moved in the opposite direction, leading analysts to question whether the market is undervaluing Solana’s fundamental strengths.

Recent data from Glassnode shows that the number of SOL addresses with a minimum balance of 0.1 has surged from approximately 9.2 million since late December, demonstrating a steady growth trajectory. This surge comes despite the SOL price declining from over $180 in January to approximately $129.54 at present. The current market conditions indicate that smaller retail investors are accumulating SOL, likely banking on potential long-term gains as they recognize the underlying network's potential.

Weighing on TVL: Capital Flight or Market Maturity?

Conversely, the Total Value Locked (TVL) on the Solana blockchain has experienced a significant downturn. According to DeFiLlama data, TVL has dropped from its peak of over $11 billion earlier this year to just under $6.4 billion now. This steep drop indicates a contraction in decentralized finance (DeFi) activities, likely influenced by broader market volatility and a reduction in incentive programs for liquidity providers.

However, it is essential to note that the current TVL is still vastly higher than the pre-bull market levels of 2023. This reflects that despite the recent contraction, Solana's DeFi ecosystem retains robust foundational strength, attracting sustained interest.

The Future of SOL: Rangebound Yet Promising

As of now, SOL is trading below both the 50-day moving average ($135.50) and the 200-day moving average ($188.05), hinting at a bearish trend in the short term. Despite this, the Accumulation/Distribution Line suggests a consistent upward movement, indicating that savvy investors may be accumulating SOL at current price levels.

With low trading volume and resistance at around $135, SOL's price action is expected to remain within a defined range in the near future. Nevertheless, if the positive trend in on-chain growth continues, it could serve as a catalyst for future price rallies.

In summary, while speculative capital might be retreating, the solid user adoption and foundational demand for Solana imply that its price is poised for recovery. If the price aligns with its network growth, we could be on the cusp of another significant rally for Solana’s asset, making it a potential gem for long-term investors amidst the market’s volatility.

Don’t Miss Out!

Stay tuned and keep an eye on Solana! Will this blockchain giant bounce back and make waves in the crypto space? Only time will tell!