Finance

Should You Cash Out Before Nvidia's Earnings? A Leading Investor Weighs In!

2024-11-18

Author: Ying

As Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) gears up to release its Q3 earnings this week, anticipation is at an all-time high. Investors are left wondering whether the tech giant can maintain its jaw-dropping streak of triple-digit year-over-year growth. While Nvidia has set an ambitious revenue target of $32.5 billion for Q3, this projection indicates a potential slowdown in quarter-over-quarter growth—raising eyebrows across Wall Street.

James Foord, a prominent investor and a trusted voice in the industry, suggests it might be prudent for investors to reconsider their positions in Nvidia. He points to various macroeconomic challenges and company-specific issues that could jeopardize Nvidia's stellar performance. "NVDA is facing stiff competition, a possible decline in AI demand, and bearish technical indicators," Foord notes, drawing from his extensive expertise as a 5-star investor in the top 4% of TipRanks' stock analysis.

The recent political landscape adds another layer of complexity. With Donald Trump being re-elected, questions arise regarding how his policies could impact industry regulations, trade relations, and energy costs—all crucial factors for a tech company like Nvidia that thrives on international supply chains and innovation.

Despite the potential hurdles, Foord remains cautiously optimistic about the opportunities that may arise under the new administration. He highlights the possibility of reduced regulatory pressures and improved financing conditions, especially as major investments in data center expansions are often funded through debt. "Lower interest rates could enable further investment in AI development," he observes.

Moreover, Foord dismisses worries about trade barriers negatively impacting profit margins, arguing that Nvidia's strong demand allows the company to navigate cost increases by passing them onto consumers.

However, he also warns of the high expectations that the market has set for Nvidia. Meeting these lofty projections is a daunting task. "It will likely take a significant positive surprise to satisfy investors," Foord warns, mentioning that analysts will be closely watching the performance of the upcoming Blackwell chips, which are crucial for the company’s future strategies.

Recent underwhelming earnings reports from other major firms in the industry, such as ASML and Applied Materials, raise further concerns about a potential slowdown in demand. Foord suggests that Nvidia could face a similar fate. With the combination of net outflows from institutional investors in Q3, questions are swirling around whether these institutions have timed the market peak effectively.

Despite Foord's cautious outlook, it's important to note that his perspective is somewhat of an outlier. Nvidia currently has a strong consensus rating, with 39 Buy and just 3 Hold ratings on Wall Street. Analysts have a 12-month average price target of $163.26, signaling approximately a 15% upside from current levels.

As Nvidia prepares for its earnings report, the tech world watches closely. Is now the right time to cash out or hold firm? Investors will need to weigh the potential risks and rewards carefully as they tread this uncertain landscape. Stay tuned!