Finance

Analysts Maintain 'Buy' Rating for CapitaLand Ascott Trust Following lyf Funan Acquisition!

2024-10-02

CapitaLand Ascott Trust's Strategic Acquisition

CapitaLand Ascott Trust (CLAS) has successfully announced a significant step forward with the acquisition of lyf Funan, a property that aligns with its strategy to enhance its portfolio in the hospitality sector. The REIT is set to enter a 20-year master lease agreement with a wholly-owned subsidiary of The Ascott Limited – the hospitality arm of CapitaLand Investment (CLI) – positioning itself for a stable income stream.

Financial Details of the Acquisition

The total cost of this acquisition stands at a remarkable $265.1 million. This figure includes a purchase consideration of $146.4 million, $113 million allocated for loan repayments, along with additional fees. Remarkably, the outlay will primarily be financed by the proceeds from the recent divestment of Citadines Mount Sophia Singapore, which contributed $142.8 million. CLAS will also utilize $119.7 million in debt to manage the existing loan facility, while acquisition fees will be covered using its stapled securities.

Impact on Leverage and Distribution

As this strategic maneuver progresses, data will show an anticipated rise in the aggregate leverage of CLAS, moving to 39.1% from the previously recorded 37.2% as of June 30. This acquisition is forecast to enhance CLAS's distribution per stapled security (DPS), with the earnings before taxes, interest, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) yield from the acquisition anticipated to be 4.7%. This yield notably surpasses the previous EBITDA yield of Citadines Mount Sophia at 3.2%. In terms of DPS, this indicates an expected increase from 6.57 cents to 6.67 cents for the fiscal year 2023, resulting in a yield of 6.7% based on the last recorded unit price of 99 cents by December 31, 2023.

Market Concerns and Optimism

From a market perspective, concerns have been raised about the fluctuations inherent within the hospitality sector, as the rental agreement is based on 93.5% of the property’s gross operating profit (GOP), which poses a risk of income volatility. Analysts suggest this could lead to a less stable DPS accretion, particularly if management fees influence payouts.

Performance Metrics of lyf Funan

Despite some apprehension, particularly from Citi analyst Brandon Lee who warns of the potential cooling in Singapore’s hotel market, there remains an optimistic forecast surrounding lyf Funan's performance. The property boasts an impressive average occupancy rate exceeding 80% this year and has a respectable average daily rate (ADR) of above $200. Furthermore, its versatile range of room types enables it to attract a diverse array of guests, balancing both corporate and leisure travelers effectively.

Long-Term Potential and Acquisition Strategy

CLAS believes in the long-term potential of Singapore as a significant gateway city, accentuating the favorable supply-demand dynamics of its real estate market. This acquisition is expected to improve the proportion of its assets located in Singapore from 16% to 19%.

Future Growth Prospects

In addition, CLAS is on the lookout for further strategic acquisitions, targeting developed markets where it already has operations. Analysts believe that the opportunities presented by the existing property pipeline from its sponsor, CapitaLand Investment Limited, offer promising prospects for growth in the near future.

Extraordinary General Meeting

As this monumental transaction unfolds, it's crucial for CLAS’s stapled securityholders to approve the deal at the extraordinary general meeting scheduled for November 2024. Forecasts regarding the acquisition remain stable as its completion is anticipated around the fourth quarter of 2024, with analysts adjusting their target prices slightly. For instance, OCBC’s analyst has revised the target price to $1.10, whereas Citi maintains its price target at $1.12.

Conclusion

In conclusion, amid fluctuating market conditions, the long-term vision and strategic acquisitions undertaken by CapitaLand Ascott Trust are positioning it well for sustained growth—making its units an enticing proposition for investors looking for stability in this dynamic sector! Stay tuned as this acquisition paves the way for potential developments in the Singapore hospitality landscape!