Finance

Ringgit Surges Against US Dollar Amid Rising Oil Prices - What’s Next for the Currency?

2024-10-08

Author: Arjun

Ringgit Surges Against US Dollar

KUALA LUMPUR: This morning, the Malaysian ringgit opened on a high note against the US dollar, buoyed by a significant increase in Brent crude oil prices, which have surged past the US$80 per barrel mark. At 8 am, the local currency was valued at 4.2590/2865 compared to the greenback, a notable improvement from Monday’s closing figure of 4.2810/2880.

Market Concerns

However, experts warn that despite this temporary uplift, the ringgit may remain under pressure. Dr. Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid, chief economist at Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd, expressed concerns that ongoing tensions in the Middle East could prevent any long-term recovery for the ringgit. The geopolitical risks have the potential to induce a 'risk-off' sentiment among investors, pushing them toward safer assets.

Impact of U.S. Treasury Yields

Additionally, rising United States Treasury bond yields present a mixed bag of signals for the Malaysian currency. Strong US jobs data indicates a robust economy, suggesting that the Fed may adopt a gradual approach to monetary easing for the time being. The uncertainty in US interest rate policies further complicates the outlook for the ringgit, which may continue to face headwinds in the short term.

Expert Insights

The US dollar is likely to emerge as the more attractive option for investors currently," Dr. Abdul Rashid noted. "Given these dynamics, we anticipate that the Malaysian ringgit will struggle to maintain its recent gains amid a jittery market environment regarding future US rate cuts and the evolving situation in the Middle East.

Positive Performance Against Other Currencies

In other news, the ringgit performed positively against a variety of major currencies. It appreciated against the euro, rising to 4.6738/7040 from the previous day’s exchange rate of 4.6920/6996. Similarly, it gained ground against the Japanese yen, moving up to 2.8750/8937 from 2.8857/8909, and also strengthened against the British pound, climbing to 5.5725/6085 from 5.5953/6044.

Resilience Against ASEAN Neighbors

The local currency showed resilience against ASEAN neighbors as well, increasing against the Singapore dollar to 3.2661/2874 from 3.2832/2888. It also strengthened against the Indonesian rupiah, now valued at 271.4/273.3 from 272.8/273.4 yesterday, and saw improvements against the Thai baht and Philippine peso.

Market Outlook

This positive trend in the ringgit's performance against multiple currencies indicates a complex interplay between local economic factors, global oil price fluctuations, and international economic health. Investors are advised to stay alert as market conditions evolve in the coming weeks. What does this mean for your investments? Keep following the situation to make informed decisions!